OG vs Team Liquid: WEU Dota Pro Circuit Spring betting analysis

William Davis Published 17/03/2022

When OG and Team Liquid are playing Dota 2, nothing is guaranteed except entertainment.

The first week of the Western European Dota Pro Circuit will end with an exciting best-of-three match between OG and Team Liquid. Both teams have a ton of legacy, but recent roster changes point to a very volatile match. If you’re looking to stock up your betting purse for the Spring tour regional finals, here’s our analysis for Team Liquid and OG at the WEU DPC.

All odds used in this article are accurate at the time of writing. For the best odds on all Dota 2 esports matches, always head to Winners.bet.

OG Dota Pro Circuit betting analysis

OG took a massive risk with its restructuring at the end of 2021. The departure of all double-TI champions marked an era of new talent with something to prove. Though OG failed to advance far in the Winter tour’s regional finals, the squad definitely left an impression with strange drafts and aggressive play. Coach-turned-captain Mikhail “Misha” Agatov shows a ton of trust in his players, which usually works out in the team’s favor. Artem “Yuragi” Golubiev is probably the first player in DPC history get a rampage while dead.

Ammar “ATF” Al-Assaf is probably the most infamous member due to his brazen trash talk and incredible mechanics. The off-laner averaged 641 XPM last season, the highest of any position three. Bozhidar “bzm” Bogdanov is the perfect blend of versatility and greed. He seems to not mind having his hero first-picked, a trait shared with many South American teams. Now matter the hero, bzm’s insane last hit average of 339.15 is proof that he can come back from any lost lane. 

Team Liquid Dota Pro Circuit betting analysis

Anyone just now checking back in with Dota 2 esports is probably shocked to see Team Liquid’s lineup. Lasse “MATUMBAMAN” Urpalainen and Ludwig “zai” Wåhlberg are a deadly combination while Aydin “iNSaNiA” Sarkohi retains his reputation as a controversial captain. It’s hard to deny the results of the new squad. Liquid came first in the Winter DPC tour with a 6-1 match record and reached the grand finals of the WEU regional finals.

The squad pushes Bane front-and-center as the star support of 7.31b. iNSaNiA recognizes the drastic killstreak bounty changes made in 7.31 as an opportunity to spark comebacks with a single well-timed Fiend’s Grip. iNSaNiA also recognizes the impact of the jungle changes, which can lead to some rpetty cheesy starts.

His fellow support Samuel “Boxi” Svahn is a monster on Mirana, boasting a 100% win rate last season. Those incredible picks keep pressure off the cores in the draft phase, leading to a Team Secret-esque strategy of using mids and carries to counter the enemy draft.

Team Liquid vs OG DPC Spring betting pick

Since both teams’ roster remixes, OG and Team Liquid have squared off three times. Liquid holds a slight advantage at 2-1, with wins in the Dota Pro Circuit but a surprise upset from OG at OGA Dota PIT Season 5. The odds peg Team Liquid as a solid favorite, with 1.54 for Liquid and 2.33 for OG in the WEU Division 1 Spring tour.

While regional finals runner-up Liquid is understandably expected to win, there’s a lot more to gain from an OG victory. This matchup is totally winnable for the rising stars, and previous best-of-threes have typically gone 2-1 in either team’s favor.

A $50 +1.5 handicap on OG can still net a decent $72. No matter which team comes out on top, the clash between OG’s explosive playstyle and Liquid’s methodical drafting is sure to entertain.

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