BLAST Premier Fall Finals grand finals betting analysis

William Davis Published 28/11/2021

CSGO bettors are spoiled in late 2021. After IEM Cologne and PGL Major Stockholm, there’s one more chance to bet on LAN play at the BLAST Premier Fall Finals.

The BLAST Premier Fall Finals combined a $425,000 prize pool with eight of the best Counter-Strike: Global Offensive teams in the world. The playoffs bracket has whittled the field down to the final three. Team Vitality, Astralis, and Natus Vincere are just two matches away from the grand prize. If you’re looking to walk away with some prize money of your own, here’s our betting picks and analysis for the loser’s finals and grand finals of BLAST Premier Fall Finals.

All odds listed in this article were accurate at the time of writing. For the best odds on BLAST Premier Fall Finals and every other CSGO tournament, head to Winners.bet.

Astralis vs Team Vitality betting analysis

Astralis’ new roster featuring Kristian “k0nfig” Wienecke and Benjamin “blameF” Bremer is absolutely wrecking at the BLAST Premier Fall Finals. The Danish squad absolutely demolished Heroic in two maps to earn a spot in the loser’s finals, including a clean 14-1 half on Nuke. Captain Lukas “gla1ve” Rossander has returned to the AWP with gusto, sniping 31 kills in the Heroic series. 

Momentum is the name of Astralis’ game, but Team Vitality will be its toughest test yet. Vitality’s star AWPer Mathieu “ZywOo” Herbaut rocks a 1.40 KD ratio, the third-highest of any player in Copenhagen. His most impressive statistic is his 45.3% headshot rate despite his using the AWP for 41% of his kills. Vitality’s one-man army strategy is paying off, but will it be enough to earn a spot in the grand finals?

Our betting pick for the BLAST Premier Fall Finals is Astralis. The new Astralis roster greatly resembles the four-major winning roster in that every single player contributes to each win. Even Philip “Lucky” Ewald landed key frags in Astralis’ bracket run.

In Team Vitality’s case, ZywOo needs to be a hero in every game for his team to have a chance. That potential inconsistency doesn’t bode well in this penultimate best-of-three series. Add in the home field advantage and Astralis is a clear favorite for this match. Winners.bet will pay out 2.85 for Astralis 2-0 over Team Vitality. 

Natus Vincere vs Astralis betting analysis

What more is there to say about the guns of Natus Vincere? In addition to sporting the greatest CSGO player of all time in Oleksandr “s1mple” Kostyliev, the team boasts the top rising star in Valerii “b1t” Vakhovskyi and the recently-betrothed IGL Kirill “Boombl4” Mikhaylov. Na’Vi has only lost a single map, 14-16 to Heroic, throughout this whole event. Whether you look at raw stats, map win rates, or individual performances, no team even comes close to reigning CSGO major champion Natus Vincere.

The new Astralis is a very strong team, but making it past Vitality doesn’t mean anything against Na’Vi. This grand finals matchup is an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object, but in this case, the immovable object has a combined KD ratio of 1.32. Natus Vincere will be the betting man’s pick once odds become available.  

Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality betting analysis

The less-likely grand finals match should be more of the same. ZywOo and s1mple’s rivalry has somewhat petered out over the past few events. Natus Vincere handed the French side an express trip to the lower bracket in the upper bracket final. Dan “apEX” Madesclaire’s gang managed a grand total of just 13 rounds across that entire series.

Vitality shouldn’t be able to put up much of a fight should these two sides meet in the grand finals. The odds for Na’Vi will be incredibly low, so bet on a 2-0 victory if they meet Vitality in the grand finals of BLAST Premier Fall Final.

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