win.gg
Win.gg Counter-Strike Team Liquid vs Triumph: IEM Beijing betting analysis

Team Liquid vs Triumph: IEM Beijing betting analysis

M Alzamora
M Alzamora Published 20/11/2020
Google Preferred Source

Team Liquid has been on a roll since its return to play at IEM Beijing, and that shouldn’t stop against Triumph.

The only real issue with 2020’s regional tournament separation has been that it is very clear that the top-tier teams in North American Counter-Strike: Global Offensive are heads and tails above the the rest. Beijing’s two top teams, Liquid and Evil Geniuses, have cruised through the group stage with ease, setting up what many believe will be a TL versus EG final. But before viewers can find out whether or not they’ll get the grand final matchup they want, both teams will have to go through two up-and-coming rosters and prove they’re not just the defacto best in the region.

Team Liquid has clear path to win against Triumph at IEM Beijing

Team Liquid arguably has an easier path. While Evil Geniuses has to face off against Chaos Esports Club, Liquid has drawn Triumph Gaming as their semifinals partner. Liquid seems to have finally worked in its fairly new addition in Michael “Grim” Wince across its map pool. The adaptation of both Grim and the Liquid players around him is right on track with our earlier breakdown of Liquid’s timeframe to get back on their feet after dropping AWPer Nick “nitr0” Cannella in August, and the entire roster is now clicking together. It’s worth noting that Triumph isn’t a bad team, not by any stretch of the imagination. It’s just that here, Liquid looks too sharp for Triumph’s relatively inexperienced roster.

Which maps favor Team Liquid?

Even with Liquid’s break, they’ve managed to impress across CSGO’s seven maps, holding win percentages higher than 58% on all maps with the exception of Vertigo. It’s worth noting that those Vertigo losses came early in Grim’s time with the team, and the rotation-dependant map didn’t help Liquid’s plan to work him in slowly. Outside of that, Liquid has looked solid over the rest of its recent games.

What is Triumph’s map pool?

Triumph has a large pool like Liquid, but its records are much less impressive. The only map that the roster finds itself on statistically even ground is Inferno, where both teams own an average win rate of just under 60%.

This leaves punters with a solid choice as to the match favorite, but the odds won’t be as great as some as we’ve seen in previous weeks. WINNERS.bet has Team Liquid sitting at a commanding 1.08 to Triumph’s 6.30 under the match-winner category, so the margin between the two isn’t quite favorable for an outright wager. Stay away from taking Triumph on pistol rounds as well, as Team Liquid has an incredibly solid 60.3% win rate on the first round in the half, no matter the side.

The room for profit here comes from a 1.4 line on maps played, with the bookmaker totaling a 2.5 on the match going three maps, with a potentially lucrative 1.4 for it to end at two. That’s where punters may find some value in a match that should go the favorite’s way. Other bookmakers, handily compiled by WINNERS.net, offer similar odds and all have Liquid penciled in as an IEM Beijing grand finalist.

M Alzamora M Alzamora
About M Alzamora

There are few things that writer M Alzamora loves more in life than Pokemon. And there are even fewer things that she loves more than her favorite Pokemon, Eevee. But M’s appreciation for gaming isn’t just limited to Nintendo’s famous pocket monsters. She’s interested in every type of game across every genre of gaming, and she has the credentials to prove it. M’s work has also been seen on Working Classicists and gaming sites.

View full profile
Read Also
IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 preview: who’s making it to the playoffs? Counter-Strike
IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 preview: who’s making it to the playoffs? Owen Harsono The IEM Cologne Major is the biggest tournament of the year, and after two stages of play, it’s finally time to unleash the big boys. Stage 3 will feature the 16 best teams in the world, but only eight can advance to the Playoffs and play on the big stage. Here’s our IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 preview. Before we got to Stage 3, a lot of things happened in ...
IEM Cologne Major 2026 CS2 Stage 3 Pick’Em Predictions Counter-Strike
IEM Cologne Major 2026 CS2 Stage 3 Pick’Em Predictions Owen Harsono It’s that time of the year again, as the next Counter-Strike 2 Major is right around the corner. The IEM Cologne 2026 Major is set to start on June 2, meaning you still have some time to lock in your Pick’Em predictions. The Pick’Em Challenge is one of the most exciting parts of the CS2 Majors, as it allows you to test your knowledge and predict which teams make it ...
Team Spirit concede just 10 rounds in Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Counter-Strike
Team Spirit concede just 10 rounds in Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Owen Harsono It was pretty weird seeing Team Spirit having to start the IEM Cologne Major from Stage 2, but they quickly proved why that was a mistake. With donk shooting on all fronts, the Eastern Europeans speed ran the competition to book their spot in Stage 3. With how they’ve been playing, it’s hard not to wonder whether they can actually win the entire thing. These boys can sometimes be known ...
BIG pull off 0-12 comeback to stay alive – IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 recap Counter-Strike
BIG pull off 0-12 comeback to stay alive – IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 recap Owen Harsono We’ve just witnessed arguably the worst choke in Counter-Strike Major history, and we’re only on the first stage of the IEM Cologne Major. If you didn’t tune into the Stage 1 matches, here’s what you need to know heading into Stage 2. Many fans tend to underestimate Stage 1 teams for fair reasons, but some survivors in this tournament look extremely promising. Two Eastern European teams, BetBoom Team and B8, ...
Who will win the IEM Cologne Major 2026? Counter-Strike
Who will win the IEM Cologne Major 2026? Owen Harsono If you’re looking to play it safe and back one team at the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Cologne 2026 Major, traders prediction markets platforms have a clear frontrunner – it’s Team Vitality. But if it’s not meant to be, there are a few other candidates that could lift the trophy. Here’s what traders on Polymarket and Kalshi think. If you haven’t been watching CS2 this year and are only jumping on ...
The 10 best CS2 players who have never won a Major Counter-Strike
The 10 best CS2 players who have never won a Major Owen Harsono In Counter-Strike, winning a Major immediately puts you into legend status. It’s an achievement that proves you won the game’s biggest trophy. However, there have been some really good players that could never get their hands on the biggest trophy that Counter-Strike esports has to offer. Here is WIN.gg's list of best CS2 players who have never won a Major. ScreaM is one of Counter-Strike's most famous players for one ...
IEM Cologne Major 2026: All the teams, favorites, and outright betting odds Counter-Strike
IEM Cologne Major 2026: All the teams, favorites, and outright betting odds Owen Harsono Mark your calendars, as the IEM Cologne Major kicks off on June 2, 2026. We’re going to see the best teams in the world compete, but which ones are actually favored to take the title? This will be the first time in 10 years that IEM Cologne will return as a Counter-Strike Major, so the stakes this year are much higher than they’ve been in a decade. In this guide, ...