mousesports vs BIG ESL Pro League group stage betting analysis

William Davis Published 29/08/2021

Group C is undoubtedly the group of death at ESL Pro League. Putting Natus Vincere, mousesports, BIG, and FaZe Clan all in the same group is just asking for tight action. And that’s something that betting fans can take advantage of.

Only three of these teams can advance to the $750,000 ESL Pro League Season 14 playoffs. The two middle-seeded teams, BIG and mouz, have the most to fight for. You can head over to Stake if you want the best odds on the exciting CSGO action.

ESL Pro League mousesports betting analysis

After a rough live performance at IEM Cologne, mousesports is probably delighted to be back in its online happy place. The Flashpoint Season 3 champion drew the roughest group of ESL Pro League. mousesports lost 1-2 against FaZe and 0-2 to Na’Vi, but you can’t count the pan-Europeans out just yet. This is their last chance to earn a spot in the playoffs. mouz could become even more vicious now that it’s backed into a corner.

The mousesports name is synonymous with Robin “ropz” Kool. The Estonian lurker has picked up a sky-high .79 kills per round over the past few tournaments. When all ten players are alive, keep a close eye on David “frozen” Čerňanský’s positioning. The Slovakian entry fragger has an opening kill rate of 1.05 over the past three months. If both players are on top of their game, a $50 bet on mousesports 2-0 over BIG would win $145.

ESL Pro League BIG betting analysis

BIG is a very interesting spot heading into ESL Pro League. The squad just lost one of its more renowned players in İsmailсan “XANTARES” Dörtkardeş. The German side brought in Danish rifler Nicklas “gade” Gade from HYENAS as a replacement. That roster swap is reflected in Stake’s 2.25 odds for BIG to beat mouz. While the loss of XANTARES does put BIG down a peg, such high odds seem to ignore the sheer talent of the four remaining players. He was arguably the third-best player on the old roster.

Captain Johannes “tabseN” Wodarz doesn’t use his strategic mind as an excuse to frag low. He’s racked up 83.8 damage with .70 kills per round over the last three months. BIG’s top fragger Florian “syrsoN” Rische is a beast with the AWP, which explains his low .60 deaths per round. BIG is one of the best teams in the world with an economic advantage. It’s just a matter of establishing that economic lead in the first place.

BIG vs mousesports betting analysis

Recent bouts between BIG and mousesports have been fairly even. mouz won 2-0 at both IEM Summer and at Flashpoint Season 3, but their most recent match at Gamers Without Borders ended in the BIG’s favor 2-1. There’s an argument to be made that a charity tournament like GWB is worth slightly less from a bettor’s perspective, but BIG’s addition of gade may play an important role in this outcome.

Going purely off of statistics, mousesports is the most likely winner. A 2-0 victory is definitely on the table, since most of BIG’s specialty maps are comfortable picks for mouz. Expect mousesports to ban Vertigo and BIG to ban either Inferno or Mirage. Dust 2, Nuke, and Overpass is the most likely map procession for this series. Unless a surprise Ancient pick comes into play, the likely score lines are either 2-0 for mousesports or 2-1 for BIG. 

A $20 bet on those lines will earn either $58 or $82 respectively. You can get the highest payouts on all ESL Pro League Season 14 matches at Stake.

Read Also

Counter-Strike

IEM Cologne Major 2026 CS2 Stage 3 Pick’Em Predictions Owen Harsono It’s that time of the year again, as the next Counter-Strike 2 Major is right around the corner. The IEM Cologne 2026 Major is set to start on June 2, meaning you still have some time to lock in your Pick’Em predictions. The Pick’Em Challenge is one of the most exciting parts of the CS2 Majors, as it allows you to test your knowledge and predict which teams make it ...

Counter-Strike

Team Spirit concede just 10 rounds in Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Owen Harsono It was pretty weird seeing Team Spirit having to start the IEM Cologne Major from Stage 2, but they quickly proved why that was a mistake. With donk shooting on all fronts, the Eastern Europeans speed ran the competition to book their spot in Stage 3. With how they’ve been playing, it’s hard not to wonder whether they can actually win the entire thing. These boys can sometimes be known ...

Counter-Strike

BIG pull off 0-12 comeback to stay alive – IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 recap Owen Harsono We’ve just witnessed arguably the worst choke in Counter-Strike Major history, and we’re only on the first stage of the IEM Cologne Major. If you didn’t tune into the Stage 1 matches, here’s what you need to know heading into Stage 2. Many fans tend to underestimate Stage 1 teams for fair reasons, but some survivors in this tournament look extremely promising. Two Eastern European teams, BetBoom Team and B8, ...

Counter-Strike

Who will win the IEM Cologne Major 2026? Owen Harsono If you’re looking to play it safe and back one team at the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Cologne 2026 Major, traders prediction markets platforms have a clear frontrunner – it’s Team Vitality. But if it’s not meant to be, there are a few other candidates that could lift the trophy. Here’s what traders on Polymarket and Kalshi think. If you haven’t been watching CS2 this year and are only jumping on ...

Counter-Strike

The 10 best CS2 players who have never won a Major Owen Harsono In Counter-Strike, winning a Major immediately puts you into legend status. It’s an achievement that proves you won the game’s biggest trophy. However, there have been some really good players that could never get their hands on the biggest trophy that Counter-Strike esports has to offer. Here is WIN.gg's list of best CS2 players who have never won a Major. ScreaM is one of Counter-Strike's most famous players for one ...

Counter-Strike

IEM Cologne Major 2026: All the teams, favorites, and outright betting odds Owen Harsono Mark your calendars, as the IEM Cologne Major kicks off on June 2, 2026. We’re going to see the best teams in the world compete, but which ones are actually favored to take the title? This will be the first time in 10 years that IEM Cologne will return as a Counter-Strike Major, so the stakes this year are much higher than they’ve been in a decade. In this guide, ...

Esports Betting

All IEM Cologne winners and rosters in Counter-Strike history Owen Harsono IEM Cologne is one of Counter-Strike’s biggest events, happening every single year. Some seasons, the event is labeled as one of Valve’s two Counter-Strike Majors of the year, but if not, still stands as one of the big events every player chases to win. With the IEM Cologne 2026 Major right around the corner, let’s take a trip down memory lane and check out every single winner of the tournament, ...