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G2 Esports vs. Fnatic: 2021 LEC Spring Split betting analysis

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William Davis Published 26/02/2021

Week 6 of the 2021 LEC Spring Split will end with a banger between G2 Esports and Fnatic. 

The match between the two European rivals is always heavily anticipated by LEC fans, and this time will be no different. Both teams are currently fighting at the top of the standings, but G2 has the edge despite losing to Fnatic earlier in the split. Since that loss, G2 is starting to ramp up and is once against looking like the true kings of Europe. The question is if Fnatic can pull off another upset, which would get them one step closer to reclaiming the LEC throne. 

Since the teams’ last meeting in week 3 of the regular split, G2 has started to crank up the pace. G2 has won four games in a row since then, which puts them in a shared first-place spot with Rogue going into week 6. With a 9-2 record, G2 is starting to look like the dominant team that everyone expected them to be with new bot laner Martin “Rekkles” Larsson. 

G2 is still showing some signs of weakness, but it’s mostly because of the players’ overaggression. This is a problem that G2 has been struggling with for a long time, but rarely in its most important matches. With a chance to even out the head-to-head and potentially take first place in the LEC for themselves, this is considered an important match for G2. 

For Fnatic, this match is likely all the more important. The newly-updated team looked great in weeks 3 and 4 but has fallen off after losing to both Vitality and MAD Lions. Fnatic is now back to a point where the performance is inconsistent, putting the team at a mediocre 6-5 record. The record is still enough for a playoff spot, but Fnatic is expected to do more than simply qualify for the playoffs. 

Going up against G2 will be a great chance to bring prior momentum back, just as last time. It was clear that Fnatic gained a lot of confidence after beating G2 a few weeks ago and doing it again could send Fnatic into a more secure top-three position. 

Beating G2 two times in a row is obviously hard, so Fnatic will have to bring its best game. Last time, Fnatic played an aggressive early game through jungler Oskar “Selfmade” Boderek, and that will now be necessary again.

Mikyx

G2 Esports vs. Fnatic rosters

G2 Esports roster: 

Fnatic roster: 

G2 Esports favored getting revenge against Fnatic in LEC

The current standings in the LEC speak for themselves, which is why G2 is entering this match as clear favorites. Despite losing the first match of the season to Fnatic, it’s expected that G2 will bounce back through more coordinated play. Even though G2 is the clear favorite, there is still a great chance that Fnatic can pull off an upset as has been seen many times before. If G2 gets off to a bad start, Fnatic will be good enough to punish it. The LEC is no longer a place where G2 can get away with everything. 

While everyone hopes this will be a close match, a win for G2 only gives an odds of 1.42. On the other side is Fnatic, where a win gives odds of 2.65. 

The LEC match of the week between G2 Esports and Fnatic takes place on February 27. 

William Davis
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