World Cup 2026: As we reach the quarter-finals, what do the odds say?
The 2026 World Cup has delivered one of the most thrilling tournaments in living memory, with the expanded 48-team format widely being praised for the competitive nature of the underdogs — particularly those like Cape Verde making their debut in the competition.
July 8 is the first rest day in what has been a breathless opening four weeks, so it is an ideal opportunity to assess the remaining eight teams ahead of the quarter-finals beginning on Thursday.
World Cup quarter-final odds
The last-16 stage boasted some excellent matches, with England’s iconic win over Mexico at the Azteca arguably the highlight. We now know the identity of the last-eight sides left in North America:
- France vs Morocco
- Spain vs Belgium
- Norway vs England
- Argentina vs Switzerland
Each of these games has multiple storylines attached and there is a real competitiveness in terms of quality when it comes to booking a place in the semi-finals. As the sporting event of the year, crypto casinos and sportsbooks are offering hundreds of markets when it comes to World Cup betting odds.
At Stake, for example, all matches are covered with betting options that extend well beyond just the match winner as the screenshot above shows. Firstly, on that note, France are unsurprisingly strong favourites to advance to the semi-finals, doing so within the standard 90 minutes — Les Bleus are currently 1.57 to do so. In contrast, Morocco can be backed at 6.00; this can perhaps be considered good value considering the strong displays so far, which included a 1-1 draw with Brazil in the group stage.
If you are looking for World Cup odds that are more exciting, then you may wish to utilize options such as who will score first. At Stake, England are 1.64 to get the game’s first goal, with Norway at 2.55 for the same outcome. Given the form of both sides — Norway eliminated Brazil convincingly in the last round — the Scandinavians should not be ruled out, and Erling Haaland can be backed to score anytime at 2.23.
Tournament winner
If you have been watching the tournament since it began on June 11 then you may well have a feeling for which country will ultimately go on to win the trophy in the final on July 19. One of the most popular betting markets is on which team will do so and GGBet is one of the most generous for World Cup promos.
Ahead of the quarter-finals, pre-tournament favourites France remain in place as the most likely to win the trophy for the third time. As shown above, they are currently available at 2.8 making them overwhelming favourites. Given their attacking displays in the tournament, this is not a shock, but bettors may feel that backing them at such low odds is a risk given that they will have to see off Morocco and then likely Spain before the final itself.
Holders Argentina are at a fair 4.6; even if they haven’t been at their best at the tournament, there seems to be an inevitably around Lionel Messi dragging them to the trophy again. Elsewhere, England and Spain are at 5.7 and 4.9 respectively, both offering solid returns on even a $10 bet.
Golden Boot
The Golden Boot is awarded to the player who ends the tournament with the most goals and the competition is thrilling so far. Roobet offers plenty of markets around this as the screenshot shows. Messi has eight goals already and this makes him the 2.05 favourite to win the individual trophy for the first time — a remarkable achievement at 39 years of age.
Of course, this specific market will likely be impacted by which teams make the final and Roobet also has markets allowing you to bet on the identity of the tournament winner plus Golden Boot; France and Kylian Mbappe can be backed at 3.2, with Argentina and Messi 5.5 for the same.
Ben is the Lead Editor at Win.gg, bringing a decade of iGaming industry experience having worked for both the operator and affiliation sides. With a formal journalism background, he is responsible for ensuring that every piece of content that we publish is relevant, accurate and well-written. In his own time, he enjoys playing video games and especially enjoys Rockstar titles, considering Red Dead Redemption 2 the finest title ever made. He has also spent a lot of time playing GTA V over the years and is fascinated by how streaming is changing the landscape of the industry.
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