Who Will Win Dancing With the Stars 35? A Look at the Favorites

Zachary Roberts Published 02/10/2026

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 is well underway, with four of the initial partnerships already eliminated. Of the remaining 12 couples, five will be named finalists, and one will win. Robert Irwin and Witney Carson are the reigning champs. Someone’s going to dethrone him, though. Who will it be? It has spike a lot of debate online, and Kalshi traders are making their voices heard.

Kalshi traders predict finalists for Dancing with the Stars

There are a lot of popular celebrities on Dancing with the Stars Season 35. Actress Julia Stiles, Paralympian Ezra Frech, comedian Guillermo Rodriguez, actress Jenna Dewan, actor Harry Shum Jr., and Olympian Amber Glenn are just a few of the popular competitors.

Image credit: Kalshi

Who’s going to make it to the finals? Last year, Dylan Efron, Elaine Hendrix, Robert Irwin, Alix Earle, and Jordan Chiles were the five. According to Kalshi traders, here’s who has the best chance of sticking around based on the implied probability:

Paralympian Ezra Frech: 98%
Reality star Maura Higgins: 94%
Olympian Amber Glenn: 86%
Actor Harry Shum Jr.: 84%
Actress Jenna Dewan: 63%

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Those are the top five, and then there’s a significant gap. Social media star Connor Wood has a 33% chance. Actress Julia Stiles is at 29%. Comedian Guillermo Rodriguez has surged to 26%. Savannah Bananas player Jackson Olson is at 12%. Reality star Tyler Cameron is sitting at 9%. Actress Tatyana Ali is at 5%, while reality star Ciara Miller comes in at 4%. Taylor Hansen was eliminated.

Who will win?

Unsurprisingly, those with the best chance on the prediction market of making it to the finale also stand a good chance of winning it all, with this a separate market. The top five options aren’t in the same order, but they’re the same five competitors:

Frech: 46%
Glenn: 12%
Higgins: 12%
Shum Jr.: 11%
Dewan: 10%

Rodriguez has a 3% chance of winning. Wood is at 2%, and Olson has a 1% chance. Everyone else is less than 1%, indicating a minuscule amount of belief from traders. But right now, Frech appears to be the runaway favorite. He has the highest chance of making the finale, and he’s almost a lock at 90%; he has the highest chance of winning it by far.

His partner, Daniella Karagach, is considered one of the absolute best partners on Dancing with the Stars. She took Dylan Efron to the finale last season, and she appears poised to return with Frech.

☑️ My Analysis

It’s hard to disagree with the Kalshi traders at this point. Making the finale and then subsequently winning requires a few things to come together. First, a star needs to be popular. They need to have a well-liked dance professional with them, and they need to either be good at dancing or show immense improvement.

That last box can’t really be checked right now, as there have just been three weeks of the competition. But the first two are very much in play. All five of the likeliest winners/finalists have the other two boxes checked. Ezra Frech and Amber Glenn are beloved Olympic athletes, and Frech is a Paralympian who has garnered a lot of support. Frech is with Daniella Karagach, and Glenn has Pasha Pashkov, two successful pros.

Harry Shum Jr. was on Glee and Grey’s Anatomy, two beloved shows, and is with Jenna Johnson, a multi-time champion. Maura Higgins is a Traitors star and has been a mainstay in reality TV. She also gets to dance with Mark Ballas. Jenna Dewan has support as an actress, and she’s with three-time champion Val Chmerkovskiy. It is likely to be one of those five that takes it home in the November 24 finale.

Cover image via The Hollywood Reporter

Zachary Roberts

About Zachary Roberts

Zachary Roberts is an avid gamer and writer that loves to merge those things. He’s been featured on VideoGamer, ComicBook, New Leaf, Esports.net, and Sportskeeda as well as the On SI network of Sports Illustrated and Sporting News.

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