Trade on LGD vs Bilibili Gaming at Polymarket — Use Promo Code WINGGPREMAR

Ben Boland Published 20/08/2026

Bilibili Gaming comes into their best-of-three series against LGD Gaming as the overwhelming favorites, with Polymarket traders giving the MSI finalists an 83% implied probability of winning at the time of writing this article.

The prediction market doesn’t give LGD much of a chance at all, and with traders backing BLG heavily, it paints a picture of who is most likely to win this series in the LPL Split 3, which is scheduled for August 20 at 7:00AM ET.

This is despite LGD being on a three-game winning streak, with one of those against MSI participants Top Esports. Alongside the uncertainty of BLG with Bin reportedly back in the starting lineup, it’s interesting to see traders lean heavily on the side of BLG.

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Best Choice: Total Games

One of the most popular Polymarket markets for this League of Legends series is the total games. Curerently 83% of traders expect this series not to go the distance, but be a 2-0 victory, likely for Bilibili Gaming. At the time of writing this article, the market stands at under 2.5 maps for this series, with a trading volume of $8,000. This makes sense given BLG are the overwhelming favorites, with traders also believing this series will not go to three maps.

Image credit: Polymarket

Traders are highly justified in taking BLG to win this series with a 2-0 score. In their past seven series in the Ascend group, BLG have only dropped one map. Considering the best teams in the league are in this group, it’s safe to say BLG are likely to 2-0 this series as well. And given their strength of opponents, the percentages make sense. Despite their recent form, LGD are sitting near the bottom of the group with a 4-7 record. Their inconsistency this split makes them an unlikely candidate to send this to three maps.

Editor’s Views

Polymarket traders are finding this a popular market to speculate on at the moment, and it is easy to see why — this should be a clean 2-0 regardless of Bilibili Gaming’s off-the-rift situation. Despite picking up Flandre, Bin returns to the starting lineup for the first time this split. Following EWC, Bin took a break from competitive League of Legends, citing health issues.

Having Flandre waiting in the wings will light a fire under Bin, whose spot has been a bottleneck on BLG for a while now. Additionally, having a strong player in Flandre to compete with Bin should help the superstar top laner find the form that made him one of the best LoL players in the world. And with carry top laners being on the menu, expect Bin to thrive in this meta.

I don’t see a world where LGD takes a game off of a rejuvenated BLG. With BLG already punching their ticket to Worlds 2026, the rest of LPL split 3 will be about reintroducing Bin to the lineup full time as they prepare to do one better at Worlds 2026 and win the whole thing.

Featured image credit: Bilibili

Ben Boland

About Ben Boland

Ben is the Lead Editor at Win.gg, bringing a decade of iGaming industry experience having worked for both the operator and affiliation sides. With a formal journalism background, he is responsible for ensuring that every piece of content that we publish is relevant, accurate and well-written. In his own time, he enjoys playing video games and especially enjoys Rockstar titles, considering Red Dead Redemption 2 the finest title ever made. He has also spent a lot of time playing GTA V over the years and is fascinated by how streaming is changing the landscape of the industry.

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