Team Liquid vs T1: Best betting odds and picks for MSI 2026

The last match of the 2026 MSI play-in stage is a rematch between T1 and Team Liquid, but will things go any differently this time?
| Match | Team Liquid vs T1 – MSI 2026 |
|---|---|
| Start time | July 1 2026, at 4 am ET |
| Our pick | T1 to win, under 3.5 maps |
| Betting favorite | T1 |
The 2026 MSI play-in stage started with T1 facing off against Team Liquid, and that’s how it’ll end. While the NA team surprised many by comfortably winning against Karmine Corp, Liquid now has to face off against a completely different beast if it wants to qualify for this event’s bracket stage.
Team Liquid vs T1 match overview
- Tournament: MSI 2026
- Stage: Play-in stage
- Game: League of Legends
- Format: Best-of-five
Betting tip: Team Liquid’s recent performance may have been strong, but T1 is looking better than expected, suggesting that fans may see another clean sweep.
Our Team Liquid vs T1 pick: Total maps to be under 3.5 at 1.68 odds.
Team Liquid vs T1 match analysis
Much of what happened in the match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid was because of KC’s overconfidence. Liquid has a reputation for being weak, which led to the NA team absolutely stomping the LEC team. Josedeodo also played extremely well, proving that he more than deserves his spot on the big stage, especially with CoreJJ constantly being a pillar of support for the team.
However, Liquid’s run is likely to stop here. T1’s recent performance against admittedly weaker teams has been fairly strong. While the team has made mistakes that it’ll repeat in the upcoming match, Team Liquid may not be able to capitalize on them. Not to mention, Keria’s support is still leagues above CoreJJ’s, while the entirety of T1 is more reliable when it comes to securing objectives.
T1 at 2026 MSI – Image credit: T1
Pair all of this with Peyz just being a much better ADC than Liquid’s Yeon, and Quid will have to overperform if Liquid wants a chance to win. This is unlikely to happen, since the last match between the two teams saw Faker unexpectedly meet his match. The Hall of Legends player will likely go for a stronger pick this time, suggesting that T1 is the team to side with here.
Regardless of all of this, Team Liquid’s early game is surprisingly impressive. The team’s early-game skills could give it first blood in this match. But the team is unlikely to be able to capitalize on any advantage, which is why it may be a good idea to take the under on 3.5 maps.
Key stats
| Stats | Team Liquid | T1 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Map win rate | 63% | 75% | T1 |
| First blood | 52.6% | 58.7% | T1 |
| First Tower | 70.2% | 52.4% | Team Liquid |
Team Liquid vs T1 betting odds snapshot
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Team Liquid to win | 7.06 |
| T1 to win | 1.08 |
| Total maps over 3.5 | 2.11 |
LoL betting odds via GG.BET, 2:11 am ET June 30, 2026
Team Liquid vs T1 betting picks & predictions
Every match in this stage of the tournament has ended with a score of 3-0, and there’s a strong chance that the same will happen again. Team Liquid’s performance against Karmine Corp may have been impressive, but that doesn’t amount to much when you consider that KC also got swept by T1.
Best picks:
- Team Liquid to get first blood at 1.89 odds: Team Liquid’s early game isn’t too bad, which could help it get first blood.
- Total maps to be under 3.5 at 1.68 odds: T1 beat Liquid without giving a single game recently, and there’s no reason the same won’t be the case here.
Team Liquid vs T1 prediction
Our Team Liquid vs T1 prediction: T1 to win 3-0 at 1.08 odds via GG.BET.
Feature image credit: Team Liquid
Hannan Mundia is a lifelong gamer. Don’t believe us? Just ask him. But don’t ask how many hours he’s spent playing. He’s been gaming since the age of three, and much of his live revolves around video games and the video game industry. Whether it’s a classic Legend of Zelda game from Nintendo, the newest Bethesda RPG, or something else entirely, you can bet that Hannan is ready and willing to play it.
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