Stake Launches GTA VI Betting Markets Ahead of Release

Khizar Mundia Published 13/11/2026

Popular crypto casino Stake has launched new betting markets for GTA 6, including which Kick streamer will finish the game’s story mode first!

GTA 6 launches on November 19, and several top streamers have already announced plans to marathon, livestream, or otherwise create content around the game. With anticipation building ahead of launch, Stake has tapped into the excitement with some unusual betting options, covering everything from which streamer will finish the story mode first to whether Jason or Lucia will die during the game.

Which Kick streamer will finish GTA 6 story mode first?

Kick has established itself as one of the leading platforms for GTA RP livestreams, and co-founder Eddie Craven believes the same will be true for GTA 6. Given that Craven also co-founded Stake, it makes perfect sense that the casino is tapping into the platform’s upcoming GTA 6 streaming activity. Viewers are always eager to watch their favourite streamers play new and popular games, and GTA 6 is almost certain to dominate gaming livestreams once it comes out.

Stake’s betting market, titled GTA VI: KICK STREAMERS RACE TO THE CREDITS, features xQc, dcampion, Omie, LordKebun, Kaysan, and Ramee.

All six are established Kick streamers with ties to the GTA RP scene, making for a highly competitive race. xQc is also a co-owner of GTA RP server NoPixel, however, it’s anyone’s guess who will be the first to complete GTA 6’s story mode. The market will be settled in favour of the first of the six streamers to complete GTA 6’s story mode and reach the end credits while broadcasting their playthrough live on Kick.

stake gta vi kick streamer race to the credits

Stake GTA 6 Streamer Race Betting Odds:

Odds at the time of writing, as listed on Stake:

Kick streamer	Stake odds	Implied probability
xQc	1.60 Favorite**	62.50%
dcampion	3.00	33.30%
Omie	11.00	9.10%
Ramee	14.00	7.10%
LordKebun	16.00	6.30%
Kaysan	16.00	6.30%

One interesting betting insight: the implied probabilities add up to approx. 124.6%; this indicates an overround of approximately 24.6%, representing the bookmaker’s margin.

Will Jason or Lucia die?

Stake is also offering a betting market on whether either of GTA 6’s two playable protagonists, Jason or Lucia, will die during the game. The market currently gives YES odds of 1.53 and NO odds of 2.20.

For a Yes bet to win, either Jason or Lucia must die during the final mission or in an ending cutscene. If the game features multiple endings, a character’s death in any one of them will qualify as a YES outcome. However, if either protagonist dies before the final mission, the market will be declared void.

Even Polymarket is speculating about whether either of the characters will die at the end of GTA 6. Rockstar has a history of killing off main characters in multiple games, including both RDR and RDR2. GTA V also offered players alternative endings, allowing Franklin to kill either Michael or Trevor or choose an option in which neither character dies. Johnny Klebitz is also killed in GTA V; therefore, it’s not far-fetched for Stake to offer this type of betting market.

stake gta vi betting markets

Other Stake GTA VI betting markets

There are several other betting markets that may attract players, including whether the game will have an alternate ending, whether GTA VI’s Metacritic score can beat both GTA V and RDR2 and whether a GTA V protagonist will appear in GTA VI’s story mode.

The settlement for these markets is simple. The alternative ending resolves with Yes if GTA VI’s story mode has more than one possible ending. For the Metacritic score, GTA VI must achieve a rating above 97 seven days after release at 10 AM ET. Franklin, Trevor, and Michael all count as a GTA V protagonist showing up if they are seen or heard, but references made to them won’t count.

Feature image credit: Stake

Khizar Mundia

About Khizar Mundia

Khizar Mundia has been playing video games for as long as he can recall. Things have come a long way since the many days he spent playing the original NES, though. He now covers a variety of competitive games and esports, as well as the world of streaming, ranging from Twitch to Kick. If it’s of interest to gamers, it’s of interest to Khizar.

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