Video Game Prediction Markets: Best Sites and Apps 2026

Simon Day Last updated 26/05/2026

Compare the best prediction market sites for video games

First things first – What are prediction markets, and how do they work?

We know you may be eager to learn more about the CS2 prediction markets or other related ones, but before then, let’s quickly discuss prediction markets in general. For starters, prediction markets are sites where you can trade the outcome of real-world events by buying and selling contracts which are tied to specific questions.

These questions can range from video game outcomes and esports events to politics, finance, economy, as well as global trends. For example, you can come across questions like: will the Bitcoin price cross the $200,000 mark before the end of the year?

Most of the time, each market usually comes with “yes” and “no” contracts, which are meant to represent the possibility of the events coming to pass or not. The prices of these contracts usually start from as little as $0.01 per share.

However, they start fluctuating based on the activities of traders. This means the more the market believes in any of the contracts, the higher the price goes. For instance, if the price of a “yes” contract shows at $0.70, it means that about 70% of the market believes the event is more likely to come to pass.

So, let’s say the event came to pass, the price of your share contract will automatically turn $1. This means if you bought 100 shares at $0.70, you must have made a profit of $30 ($0.3 x 100). Having said that, there are actually many prediction markets that you can use, especially in the US, but this guide will be focusing more on Kalshi.

A look at video game prediction markets

Now that you have a basic understanding of prediction markets, let’s now explore what video game prediction markets are. They are sites where you can trade yes/no contract shares on the outcome of events that are tied to digital gaming, particularly competitive esports titles like CS2, Dota 2, or League of Legends.

These markets usually focus on specific in-game or tournament-related outcomes, such as which team will win a match, whether a player will achieve a certain number of kills, or if a team will advance to the next stage of a competition.

Just like we explain in the previous section, the prices of these contracts are usually driven by market sentiment, meaning they reflect what other traders believe is most likely to happen. The good news is that while Kalshi happens to be a reputable economy prediction market, it still qualifies as one of the best esports prediction markets, with hundreds of event contracts to trade on.

Is it legal for trade on video prediction markets?

The legality of trading on video game prediction markets actually depends on your location. As a US based citizen, you can legally engage in it, but that would be on a fully compliant site.

For instance, sites like Kashi are regulated in the US and operate under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). In case you don’t know, the CFTC is a federal regulatory agency that is responsible for supervising derivatives markets, including futures, options, and event-based contracts like those offered on prediction markets.

So, at the end of the day, if you’re in the US and are up to 18 years old, you can legally trade on video games or even streamer prediction markets like Kalshi, without running into any issue.

Kalshi – one of the best video games prediction markets sites

Sign-up bonus for new traders Huge selection of events Live prediction markets Broad selection of payment types

2% debit card fee

We won’t deny the fact that there are lots of prediction markets that you can actually explore, especially if you’re in the US, for exciting experiences. However, if you prioritize safety and positive experience, then Kalshi should be on the top of your list.

In case you don’t know, Kalshi has been around since 2018, and has built a strong reputation as one of the few fully regulated prediction market sites in the country. One of its main selling points is the fact it covers a wide variety of prediction markets that you can trade on.

Specifically, the site gives traders the opportunity to trade on real life events that are tied to economy, culture, celebrity lifestyle, climate, politics, finance, tech, and even gaming. Since this guide is focused on video games, it may interest you to note that Kalshi covers contracts tied to a list of popular video game titles like Counter-Strike 2, Dota 2, League of Legends, Valorant, Fortnite, Call of Duty, and many more.

Obviously, Kalshi provides contracts that are tied to tournament outcomes, team performances, and other esports related events. This gives traders more than enough options to trade on.

Besides the wide variety of contracts, Kalshi stands out for its impressive mobile performance. The brand features both iOS and Android apps that you can install in no time. When it comes to bonus, Kalshi gives new traders the chance to claim a welcome bonus of $10 without needing any promo code.

Getting started with video game predictions at Kalshi — A step-by-step approach

If you’ve followed all that we’ve discussed so far from the beginning of this guide, you may now be ready to take your first step. Once ready, the first thing to do is to sign up for an account on Kalshi if you don’t have one. Thankfully, the site features a fast and easy sign up process, so you should be done in a matter of minutes. Follow these steps to proceed:

1. Tap any of the site’s registration links featured on this page

2. Select your preferred sign up route

3. Going with the form? Provide all the required information

4. Next, verify your email address and identity

5. Make a deposit into your newly created account

6. Use the search box to look for your preferred video game

7. Choose your preferred question and make your yes/no choice

8. Enter the number of shares you wish to purchase for that particular choice

9. Confirm and complete the transaction

While the above steps can also be helpful to those who are also looking forward to exploring the best economy prediction markets, don’t forget that Kalshi only accepts traders who are at least 18 years old.

A quick snapshot of Kalshi and its features

Before we proceed to the conclusion paragraph of this guide, here’s a table summarizing everything you should know about Kalshi:

Pros and cons of using Kalshi for your video game predictions

Kalshi stands out as one of the best prediction markets in the US, no doubt. However, that doesn’t mean the site is perfect. Here are some of the pros and cons that we’ve noticed so far:

Fast and easy sign up process Available in many US states Generous $10 welcome offer Offers a wide range of prediction markets

Can be confusing for starters

Should you use Kalshi for your video game predictions? Our final take

Whether you should use Kalshi for your video game predictions actually depends on your preference at this point. However, from our experience so far, the site has proven to be one of the best in the US. Aside from being fully licensed and regulated by the CFTC, it offers a wide range of video gaming questions that you can definitely trade on.

The best part? Signing up for an account on the site takes less than 5 minutes to complete, including identity verification. So, if you’re ready to get started, we don’t think there’s anything stopping you at this point. Check the banners on this page for the brand’s registration links.

Our favorite prediction market sites

Video gaming prediction markets FAQs

Simon Day

About Simon Day

Simon has been writing about Gaming and Sports for over a decade, with his work featured in a variety of well-known gaming magazines. In 2025, he joined win.gg as an Editorial Specialist, where he continues to share his passion for the industry through insightful and well-crafted content pieces.

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