win.gg
Win.gg Valorant Prediction Markets 2026

Valorant Prediction Markets 2026: Best Sites for Valorant Event Trading

Simon Day
Simon Day Last updated 14/09/2026

If you’re looking for top platforms where you can trade Valorant prediction markets in the US right now, then you should read this page. These sites offer a good selection of event contracts tied to outcomes of various Valorant matches.

The prediction market platforms we recommend include Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com. But before we discuss these brands, we’ll first explain how Valorant prediction markets actually work. And if you’re ready to trade different esports outcomes on any of our recommended picks, we’ll provide key steps to follow. With so much to learn, let’s get started.

The Best Valorant Prediction Market Apps and Sites

3 quick takeaways from this guide on Valorant prediction markets

What are Valorant prediction markets?

They let you buy or sell event contracts tied to the outcome of a Valorant match. They often start with a question, with attached Yes or No contracts. And similar to League of Legends prediction markets, each contract ranges between $0.01 and $0.99. The price you see reflects the view of buyers and sellers on the likelihood of an outcome occurring.

Here’s an example we found on our recommended prediction market apps:

Based on current event contract pricing, there’s a 61% chance that LOUD will win their match against MIBR. On the other hand, there’s a 49% chance that it won’t occur. Let’s say you decide to buy 500 Yes contracts for a total of ~$300. If your prediction is correct, each of your Yes contracts will settle at $1, and you’ll get $500 (that’s a $200 return excluding trading fees).

However, if your prediction is wrong, all your Yes contracts will settle at $0, and you’ll lose the $300 you used to trade.

It’s important to note that the Yes or No event contracts shift in price depending on how other buyers and sellers trade the Valorant matchup or what happens during the game. So, while there’s currently a 61% chance of LOUD defeating MIBR, if MIBR wins Map 1, there could be a dip in LOUD’s Yes contract price. For instance, it could go from $0.61 to $0.42.

When that happens, you can benefit from your preferred platform’s early exit mechanism. This lets you lock in some returns (if your prediction is correct) or cut some losses (if your prediction is wrong) even before the event ends.

There are different types of Valorant prediction markets you can trade, depending on the brand you choose from our curated options. The most common type you’ll find is the match winner contracts. If you’re new to prediction market trading, you can start from this option.

Other Valorant prediction markets whose event contracts you can trade are:

Prediction market type Example
Map-by-map Winner Who will win Map (Game) 1: LOUD vs 100 Thieves
Total map/game Will Nongshim RedForce and Rex Regum Qeon play over or under 2.5 maps
Map total rounds Will the Evil Genius and NRG game have a Map 2 total round of over 20.5

What are the best Valorant prediction market sites?

Below, we’ve identified the three top esports prediction market sites you can use to trade different outcomes in Valorant games. Here’s a side-by-side comparison of these platforms.

Platforms Regulated by Available Valorant prediction markets
Kalshi Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Overall winner, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner
Polymarket CFTC Moneyline, total maps, outright handicap, map-by-map handicaps, and total rounds per map
Crypto.com CFTC Outright winner

Let’s review each of these brands.

Kalshi: The first regulated prediction market app

Kalshi
Sign-up bonus for new traders Huge selection of events Live prediction markets Broad selection of payment types Federal CFTC regulation Extended hours & real time pricing
2% debit card fee Not all markets have strong liquidity

Kalshi has built a reputation as one of the most trusted prediction market platforms, and its Valorant coverage reflects that. This platform is well regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. So it has a level of oversight that’s hard to match.

During our Kalshi review, we noticed that this platform offers map-specific and overall match winner contracts. And when bigger Valorant events come around, you’ll find tournament-long contracts where you can predict who’ll win the entire tournament. It also has a clean and intuitive mobile app, which makes it easy for you to place your trades on the go.

Polymarket: A blockchain-based top prediction market platform known for its esports depth

Polymarket
Offers a generous welcome offer Streamlined registration process No need for a bonus code Offers a wide range of prediction markets
Restricted in certain states

Polymarket is a top prediction market app that goes all out in ensuring depth across all esports markets. From our assessments, this platform features moneyline, total maps, outright handicap, map-by-map handicaps, and total rounds for each map.

Based on our Polymarket review, one of this platform’s biggest strengths is liquidity. This means that you can buy or sell contracts without any significant price swings. The platform runs on blockchain-based smart contracts, which means payments happen via crypto and not fiat. So, if you’re comfortable with digital assets, you’re good to go.

Crypto.com: A top-tier crypto-based prediction market platform

Crypto.com
Supports fiat & crypto payments iOS and Android apps No-fee deposits and withdrawals Several security measures
No welcome bonus

Crypto.com built its name as a crypto exchange before branching into prediction markets. If you’re a crypto trader, you’ll appreciate how the platform allows you to fund your prediction market account with different digital assets. And once you make a deposit, the amount is displayed in USD so you can easily track your Valorant trade.

If you’re looking for an on-the-go trading experience, it has a dedicated mobile app (available on iOS and Android). That said, you won’t find a deep selection of Valorant prediction markets as you would on Polymarket and Kalshi. The only option you’ll usually find is the overall winner market. That was the same experience we had when exploring available mobile legends prediction markets. If you prefer this simplicity and are comfortable using a crypto wallet, then Crypto.com is for you.

Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.

Pros and cons of these Valorant prediction market sites

Here are the pros and cons of these platforms:

Real-time coverage of all Valorant events Federally regulated by the CFTC Real-time pricing adjusts to live match momentum Easy exit mechanism before the match ends Available mobile trading apps
Valorant esports event contracts are not available in every US state Some sites require crypto-only funding, which can be difficult for new traders

If you haven’t traded event contracts tied to Valorant outcomes, we’ve got you covered here. Please follow these steps to get started right away.

  1. Click the banners on this page and choose any of our recommended prediction market sites to register for an account.

  2. Once you’re on the platform’s sign-up page, provide all required credentials, such as your email address, password, legal name, date of birth, Social Security Number, and home address.

  3. Verify your identity by submitting a government-approved ID. Then provide proof of address by uploading a recent utility bill or bank statement.

  4. Once you’re fully verified, fund your account with either a crypto wallet or any available payment method that you prefer.

  5. Afterward, go to the sports category of your preferred prediction market platform.

  6. Find the esports tab and explore the Valorant prediction market section.

  7. You’ll find available Valorant fixtures for the day and future events.

  8. Select the match you want to trade and purchase your preferred Yes or No contract.

  9. Confirm your trade.

  10. Feel free to monitor your trade. You can wait for your purchased contract to fully resolve or exit early if its price moves in your predicted direction.

Trade different outcomes at top Valorant prediction markets

Valorant prediction markets let you trade the potential outcome of a Valorant game or tournament. And based on our discussions so far, the best brands that let you do so are Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.

Do well to read each of these platforms’ reviews again so you know which site matches your trading style. When you’re ready to start trading Valorant event contracts, click the banners on this page to register an account on your preferred operator and make your first trade.

Valorant prediction markets FAQs

🎮 What are Valorant prediction markets?

They let you buy and sell event contracts tied to Valorant matches or tournament outcomes. Contract prices shift as buyers and sellers trade, and this reflects their belief in an outcome happening.

💰 Can you profit off of trading Valorant outcomes?

Yes, potentially. But you must remember that nothing is guaranteed here. Prediction trading has its risks, and you can lose all your funds if your predictions are incorrect. So you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.

🔒 Is it safe to trade on Valorant prediction markets platforms?

Yes. Our recommended platforms are regulated by the CFTC, and they use identity checks and clear settlement rules to protect traders.

Simon Day Simon Day
About Simon Day

Simon has been writing about Gaming and Sports for over a decade, with his work featured in a variety of well-known gaming magazines. In 2025, he joined win.gg as an Editorial Specialist, where he continues to share his passion for the industry through insightful and well-crafted content pieces.

View full profile