Passion UA vs paiN BLAST Fall Rivals 2025 playoffs: Best odds, picks
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025 is finally nearing its climax with the playoff bracket locked in. Passion UA and paiN will be the first two teams to clash in the semifinals, with FURIA awaiting the winner.
| Match | Passion UA vs paiN |
|---|---|
| Start time | November 14, 2025, at 5:30 a.m. ET. |
| Our pick | paiN Gaming to win 2–0 @ 1.72 at Stake. |
| Betting favorite | paiN Gaming |
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025 hasn’t seen much in the way of upsets thus far, with outright odds hitting exactly where they were expected to. Then again, that’s mainly because the gaps between teams were so big. Now that the match-ups are tightening, bettors are finally stepping into territory where hitting the bullseye isn’t going to feel quite so simple. For starters, both Passion UA and paiN are underdogs at BLAST Rivals Fall, and they are about to go head-to-head in the quarterfinals. For this playoff match, bettors will need to choose carefully if they don’t want to get burned.
Match overview
- Tournament: BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
- Stage: Quarterfinal
- Game: Counter-Strike 2
- Format: Best-of-three
Betting tip: Both Passion UA and paiN have struggled to produce impressive wins so far, though Passion UA looks marginally sharper thanks to an early showing against MongolZ. paiN, on the other hand, were thrown straight into the deep end by opening against FURIA, the tournament favorite, and the Brazilian side struggled against its domestic rival.
Because of that bracket disparity, bookmakers give paiN a slight edge over Passion UA. It’s shaping up to be a tight battle regardless of that edge, and bettors should expect three maps to be played.
Our Passion UA vs paiN pick: Total maps to be over 2.5 @ 1.85 odds.
Passion UA vs paiN Gaming match analysis
paiN had a rough opening while running straight into FURIA, who entered the event fresh off an IEM Chengdu 2025 win. Even as underdogs, paiN managed to take a map, and while it didn’t change the match outcome, it does give paiN some credibility going into the playoffs. Passion UA exceeded expectations despite the odds being heavily stacked against them. Their win over MongolZ carries real weight, especially since MongolZ are still looking pretty hot even as they adjust to Azbayar “Senzu” Munkhbold’s removal.
paiN Gaming
Both teams are factually in the same spot, with no notable wins at big events to their name. paiN has shown signs of life by securing fifth-place finishes at events such as PGL Masters Bucharest 2025 and FISSURE Playground #2, and the team continues to hold a top-20 position in Valve’s rankings.
Passion UA shouldn’t be written off. Despite a shaky 2025, the North American lineup features several big names. Johnny “JT” Theodosiou and Michael “Grim” Wince both have the firepower to swing rounds in the team’s favor, while Denis “kvem” Vardanyan remains their potential wild card in multi-frag situations. That said, if this side can’t replicate the level they showed against MongolZ, their Brazilian opponents should be able to close out the series.
On paiN’s side, Lucas “nqz” Soares is the player they’ll most want to lean on. He has consistently posted above 1.10 K/D at high-tier events, and if he gets the right level of support from the rest of the roster, paiN could take this match home. Bettors may still lean toward paiN Gaming simply based on the greater consistency the side has shown this year.
Key stats
| Stats | Passion UA | paiN Gaming | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Map win rate | 51% | 47% | Passion UA |
| Opening kills | 53.6% | 51.3% | Passion UA |
| Pistol round winrate | 46% | 49% | paiN Gaming |
Passion UA vs paiN Gaming betting odds snapshot
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Passion UA to win | 2.10 |
| paiN Gaming to win | 1.65 |
| Total maps under 2.5 | 1.85 |
CS2 betting odds as of November 14, 8:00 a.m. ET, via Stake.
Passion UA vs paiN Gaming picks and predictions
Both Passion UA and paiN are fully capable of taking this match, but the numbers do lean slightly in the Brazilian team’s direction. As we also noted in our betting guide, Passion UA is a real underdog at this event. Bookmakers believe paiN could pull off a clean sweep. We still like the maps to be over 2.5, but we do see paiN as the safer choice to actually win the series.
Passion UA vs paiN prediction
Our Passion UA vs paiN prediction: paiN Gaming to win 2–1 @ 1.72 at Stake.
Featured image credit: paiN Gaming on X
Fariha Bhatti is a long-time gaming writer who loves competitive FPS games and slots with particularly fun themes. She got her start playing classic games developed by SNK, from legendary fighting game series The King of Fighters to challenging platform franchise Metal Slug. She now spends most of her time playing Valorant and Counter-Strike 2 while working her way through new slot releases to find her next favorite. Fariha has been published at PCGamesN, TalkEsport and ONE Esports.
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