win.gg
Win.gg Counter-Strike PGL Stockholm Major semifinals betting picks and analysis

PGL Stockholm Major semifinals betting picks and analysis

Author Icon
William Davis Published 05/11/2021

What might be the most exciting series in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive history is just two matches away.

The Stockholm Major champions stage is the pinnacle of CSGO. The final eight teams have been cut in half. All that’s left is to decide the teams on the podium. The Stockholm Major semifinals features two exciting matchups with $2 million hanging in the balance. Savvy bettors have a chance to bank off the event with smart betting picks. This is our wagering analysis for the semifinals of the CSGO Stockholm Major.

All odds included in this article were accurate at the time of writing. For the best odds on all CSGO esports matches, head to Winners.bet.

Heroic vs G2 Esports Stockholm Major analysis

Heroic has really polished itself up at the Stockholm Major. The Danish squad barely squeaked into the Legends stage but bounced back with wins over Vitality and Astralis to make the top eight. Although usually a quieter player, Martin “stavn” Lund has flexed his rifling skills with a 1.32 KD ratio. His new aggressive style is paying off with a 52.5% opening duel success rate. Despite that great performance, Winners.bet still rates Heroic the underdog at 2.17 odds.

By contrast, G2 Esports cruised into its final four by crushing Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 in the first round. Nikola “NiKo” Kovač is one of the scariest CSGO players on the planet right now. His clean Deagle triple against NiP is the best clip of the tournament so far. NiKo’s cousin Nemanja “huNter-” Kovač is no slouch either, with 83.9 damage and .80 kills per round. The team is playing hot, as reflected in G2 Esports’ 1.60 odds to beat Heroic.

The teams have only played once in 2021, way back in May, and that series ended 2-1 for G2 Esports with a decisive map three on Mirage. In terms of sheer talent, G2 has a step up on Heroic. Several G2 players are popping off in Stockholm, including François “AmaNEk” Delaunay and cousins NiKo and huNter-. A G2 victory on map three will yield a boosted payout at 1.71 odds. Considering the team’s wide map spread and lack of history, G2 Esports versus Heroic is likely to go the distance.

Gambit Esports vs Natus Vincere Stockholm Major analysis

Natus Vincere is the undeniable favorite to win PGL Major Stockholm. The Russian-Ukrainian roster is looking unstoppable now that LANs are back on the table, taking an all-too-easy victory at IEM Cologne. That factors into the Na’Vi’s low 1.48 odds to beat Gambit. While most eyes are on AWPer Oleksandr “s1mple” Kostyliev, rookie Valerii “b1t” Vakhovskyi has been the real star in Stockholm. 84.1 damage per round and a 71.4% headshot rate make him a terrifying rifler to play against.

All of that is a big problem for Gambit Esports. The team couldn’t ask for a tougher opponent. Lucky for it, Gambit is one of the only squads able to touch Natus Vincere in 2021. The Russian side managed a 2-0 victory on Na’Vi to win IEM Fall: CIS. Young AWPer Dmitriy “sh1ro” Sokolov played hot then and he’s scorching now. He boasts one of the highest KDAs in CSGO major history at 1.73. Despite taking the most recent matchup, Winners.bet rates Gambit at a steep 2.45 to take the best-of-three.

Unlike the other Stockholm Major semifinal, this match has plenty of precedence. While recency favors Gambit, Natus Vincere is playing in championship form. s1mple alone is a lot to handle, but with b1t breaking records, Natus Vincere deserves the favorite status. A bet for either team to win in two maps will net a nice 1.94 return on Winners.bet. The majority of Gambit and Natus Vincere matches this year have been blowouts one way or another, so this could be the best bet to make.

William Davis
About William Davis

View full profile
Read Also
Falcons signs karrigan as IGL following FaZe Clan departure Counter-Strike
Falcons signs karrigan as IGL following FaZe Clan departure Fariha Bhatti Falcons have confirmed the signing of veteran in-game leader Finn "karrigan" Andersen, shortly after he announced his departure from FaZe Clan. Earlier, Falcons announced that it had benched Damjan "kyxsan" Stoilkovski following the team's third-place finish at IEM Rio on Sunday. That announcement was followed by one from FaZe Clan, who confirmed the end of karrigan’s five-year stint under the organization. Now, the Saudi-based organization has added one of Counter-Strike's ...
Who is MAUSchine? The player who struck an opponent at CAGGTUS Leipzig LAN Counter-Strike
Who is MAUSchine? The player who struck an opponent at CAGGTUS Leipzig LAN Fariha Bhatti A local German Counter-Strike 2 LAN tournament turned ugly after semi-pro player MAUSchine struck his his opponent on camera, casting a shadow over what should have been a celebration of grassroots competition. CAGGTUS is Leipzig's premier gaming festival, bringing together esports fans since 2023. While primarily rooted in the local German scene, the event is making headlines worldwide for all the wrong reasons. At the end of the CS2 LAN ...
Stake Ranked Episode 2: FaZe on List of Invited Teams Counter-Strike
Stake Ranked Episode 2: FaZe on List of Invited Teams Owen Harsono Popular bookmaker Stake is running it back with their second Counter-Strike tournament - Stake Ranked Episode 2. Below, we’ll break down everything you need to know about Stake Ranked Ep. 2, including teams, schedules, and format. Like the first iteration of Stake Ranked, the tournament organizers are choosing quality over quantity, as we’ll only see a total of eight participants. On April 21, the esports betting site revealed six direct ...
FalleN to retire at end of 2026 after 20 years in Counter-Strike Counter-Strike
FalleN to retire at end of 2026 after 20 years in Counter-Strike Fariha Bhatti Gabriel “FalleN” Toledo took to the main stage of IEM Rio 2026 to confirm that he’s retiring from Counter-Strike at the end of 2026 The final of IEM Rio 2026 was action-packed, with Team Vitality once again reaffirming its current dominance in CS2. However, the moment that took the spotlight was FalleN’s unexpected announcement. The Godfather of Counter-Strike, stepped to the microphone and, through tears, announced that 2026 would be ...
Cache is making its competitive CS2 comeback on FACEIT Counter-Strike
Cache is making its competitive CS2 comeback on FACEIT Fariha Bhatti Voting for the eighth FACEIT map is now complete, with Cache winning the race with 148,840 votes as the favorite map to appear in Season 8. FACEIT is often considered the only platform in Counter-Strike 2 where real competition happens. This is all thanks to the FACEIT anti-cheat, which makes it almost impossible for malicious actors to cheat in the game. For this reason, serious CS2 players prefer FACEIT over ...
Team Vitality vs Team Spirit: IEM Rio 2026 grand final predictions Counter-Strike
Team Vitality vs Team Spirit: IEM Rio 2026 grand final predictions Owen Harsono Team Spirit look to deny Team Vitality's second ESL Grand Slam by taking them down in the grand final of IEM Rio 2026. Can the Eastern European squad win their first trophy of the year, or will we see yet another trophy for Vitality? Here are our IEM Rio 2026 Team Vitality vs Team Spirit predictions. Tournament: IEM Rio 2026 Stage: Grand Final Game: Counter-Strike 2 Format: Best of 5 ...
Team Vitality vs FURIA: IEM Rio 2026 predictions and odds Counter-Strike
Team Vitality vs FURIA: IEM Rio 2026 predictions and odds Owen Harsono Team Vitality take on the hometown heroes of FURIA in the IEM Rio 2026 semi final. This is a matchup for the books, and is shaping up to be the most anticipated series of the event. Here are our Team Vitality vs FURIA IEM Rio 2026 predictions. Tournament: IEM Rio 2026 Stage: Semi Final Game: Counter-Strike 2 Format: Best of 3 Betting tip: Both teams are extra motivated to win ...