G2 Esports vs. Vitality: 2021 LEC Summer betting analysis

William Davis Published 14/07/2021

The young team of Vitality will take on the more experienced G2 Esports in week 6 of the 2021 LEC Summer Split.

The two teams are currently fighting close to each other in the standings, with Vitality being right at the edge of top 6. G2 is only a little bit ahead in fifth place and is still fighting hard to remain comfortably within playoff contention. This match could be important in the long run as both teams are chasing a spot in the playoffs as the bare minimum this split.

One big surprise this split is the fact that G2 is at a 6-5 record and hasn’t been able to find the form that fans are accustomed to seeing. This has put G2 in some rough spots against opponents that would usually roll over against the former champions. Luckily for G2, the players started to find comfort last week where they went 2-0 by defeating Astralis and Rogue respectively.

The win against Rogue was very important since this is one of the teams that G2 needs to be able to beat when chasing a trophy. The win will give back G2 some of the lost confidence and potentially push the team back to the level that is expected.

Vitality also had a good end to last week with a win over SK Gaming. The renewed Vitality squad entered this split after finishing last in spring and is already looking much better now. With that said, it’s still clear that the team is very new and needs more time to build synergy. While Vitality has gotten some solid wins, there are still a lot of holes in its armor that could be abused by a team like G2.

So far, Vitality has relied a lot on jungler Oskar “Selfmade” Boderek to get the ball rolling in the early game. This will likely be the same against G2, where it’s all about getting off to a good start so G2 won’t dictate the game. With G2’s recent flaws, Selfmade will be the man to exploit the team and get his own lanes in a snowballing position. The best snowballer on the team will be mid laner Adam “LIDER” Ilyasov, who is known to pop off when given the chance. If he doesn’t, then things can quickly go south for the Norwegian mid laner.

It’s therefore expected that both teams will be focusing a lot on the middle of the map and letting the bot lanes do their thing before team fighting erupts. There’s a chance that the top laners will end up brawling as well, but only if the champions picked in the draft are suitable for it.

G2 will be the clear favorite, but Vitality knows that it’s possible to disrupt the star lineup of G2.

LIDER

G2 Esports vs. Vitality rosters

G2 Esports roster:

Top – Martin “Wunder” Hansen
Jungle – Marcin “Jankos” Jankowski
Mid – Rasmus “Caps” Winther
Bot – Martin “Rekkles” Larsson
Support – Mihael “Mikyx” Mehle

Vitality roster:

Top – Mathias “Szygenda” Jensen
Jungle – Oskar “Selfmade” Boderek
Mid – Adam “LIDER” Ilyasov
Bot – Juš “Crownshot” Marušič
Support – Labros “Labrov” Papoutsakis

G2 is heavy favorite to continue win streak against Vitality

Even though G2 has had some shaky moments this split, it’s looking like things are starting to turn around. A recent two-game winning streak will restore some confidence to the G2 players. Everyone knows the strength of G2 individually, and all that has been needed so far is team synergy. With that starting to potentially come along, not even a buffed-up Vitality squad will be able to do anything about it. If Vitality wants to pull off the upset, the players will need to play without fear and create advantages early on.

Because of this, a win for G2 won’t give more than an odds of 1.39 while a win for Vitality gives an odds of 2.75. Looking at the standings, the teams are much closer than the odds would suggest, but the recent performance of G2 has not been taken into account.