G2 Esports vs. Fnatic: 2021 LEC Summer betting analysis

William Davis Published 25/06/2021

A classic banger is about to get underway during the 2021 LEC Summer Split week 3 when G2 Esports clash with Fnatic.

After a solid start to the summer split from both teams, it’s time for the two old kings of Europe to face off on Summoner’s Rift. G2 is currently topping the leaderboard with a 4-1 record alongside Misfits Gaming after a recent three-game winning streak. Fnatic has won three games in a row as well, but started out the split with two losses and is therefore behind its rival.

Prior to the match, it’s expected that G2 will come out swinging as the team is chasing the trophy harder than ever after missing the final during the spring. Fnatic also missed the final but has recently undergone some big changes that might lower expectations for this split. With the young top laner Adam “Adam” Maanane coming in and Gabriël “Bwipo” Rau swapping to the jungle, it’s still hard to predict how well the team will do against some of the best in the league.

So far, Fnatic has looked great with Bwipo in the jungle. With wins over both Rogue and Vitality, the team has already proven to perform against some of the better teams in the league. With that said, G2 still seems like a different beast entirely. Taking down G2 will require a lot of focus from every Fnatic player, especially Bwipo, who will call the shots from the jungle and try to get a lead against one of the best in Europe in Marcin “Jankos” Jankowski.

Because of the recent swap to the jungle, this matchup will likely be the most important and the one that everyone will keep an eye on. Even though Bwipo has less experience in the jungle, the Belgian superstar is already showing a great understanding of the role and a wide champion pool.

So far, Jankos has the better KDA of the two with 5.3 to Bwipo’s 4.3. But Bwipo is closer to the Polish jungler statistically than expected. Bwipo is a little bit ahead of Jankos in gold, XP, and CS differential after 10 minutes, which currently indicates that he has a bit more impact in the early game. This will be crucial for Fnatic as the best win condition will likely be to snowball a lead right from the start.

Playing a longer game against the likes of Martin “Rekkles” Larsson and Rasmus “Caps” Winther is always dangerous, so expect Bwipo to play something aggressive and try to play towards the top side of the map. As G2 is known for aggression of its own, this could be a game with a lot of kills.

Bwipo

G2 Esports vs. Fnatic rosters

G2 Esports roster:

Top – Martin “Wunder” Hansen
Jungle – Marcin “Jankos” Jankowski
Mid – Rasmus “Caps” Winther
Bot – Martin “Rekkles” Larsson
Support – Mihael “Mikyx” Mehle

Fnatic roster:

Top – Adam “Adam” Maanane
Jungle – Gabriël “Bwipo” Rau
Mid – Yasin “Nisqy” Dinçer
Bot – Elias “Upset” Lipp
Support – Zdravets “Hylissang” Galabov

G2 Esports expected to run away with win against Fnatic

Due to recent results and the fact that Fnatic has made drastic changes recently, it’s expected that G2 will end up controlling this game and getting the win against Fnatic. Purely based on individual skill and team synergy, G2 should be the better team on any given day. That said, G2 is still known for being inconsistent and overly aggressive. If Fnatic manages to catch G2 on the wrong foot, then the game can quickly get out of control. A lot will depend on the draft and the first 10 minutes of the match.

A win for G2 Esports will give an odds of 1.50 this time around while a win for Fnatic will give more profit with an odds of 2.40. Considering recent performance, this match could end up close, but the safe choice will definitely be G2.