Evil Geniuses vs. Quincy Crew betting analysis, predictions

By Steven Rondina


Feb 15, 2021

Reading time: 2 min

The most anticipated matchup in western Dota 2 is almost here. Evil Geniuses will take on Quincy Crew for the first time in eight months in order to decide the best team in North America.

The match is on the cards for February 18 in Beyond the Summit’s North American Dota Pro Circuit league. This is a blockbuster matchup that fans have clamored for, so it’s worth taking a good look at this one.

Evil Geniuses looking strong in NA DPC league

Evil Geniuses was very active and generally dominant in North American online leagues in 2020. Then the team basically stopped playing. Evil Geniuses took an extended hiatus in the second half of the year, only reemerging for an underwhelming appearance in Omega League. This was followed by the reveal of its new roster:

  1. Artour “Arteezy” Babeev
  2. Abed “Abed” Azel L. Yusop
  3. Daryl Koh “iceiceice” Pei Xiang
  4. Andreas “Cr1t-” Nielsen
  5. Tal “Fly” Aizik

The lineup faced serious questions at the start of the season but answered them emphatically by starting the league with a perfect 5-0 record. Part of that can be chalked up to the flimsy competition in North America, but the team has faced such little resistance that it’s hard to question whether they maintain elite status.

Quincy Crew will be the new Evil Geniuses’ biggest test to date, but it’s anyone’s guess whether they’ll be able to pass it.

Quincy Crew maintaining dominant 2020 form

Though Team Secret got the most attention from Dota 2 fans in 2020, Quincy Crew was no less dominant. The North American squad was dropped by Chaos Esports Club as soon as Dota 2 majors started getting cancelled but the players got the last laugh on that matter:

  1. Yawar “YawaR” Hassan
  2. Quinn “CCnC” Callahan
  3. Rodrigo “Lelis” Santos
  4. Arif “MSS” Anwar
  5. Avery “SVG” Silverman

Between June and December, Quincy Crew won eight different tournaments and placed second in its only other appearance. That level of dominance partly came because of the awkward training situations and thin competition, but the team was winning so consistently that there had to be something there.

During that time there was no question that Quincy Crew was the best team in the western hemisphere but now that Evil Geniuses is back that’s uncertain. This match will go a long way towards proving it, one way or the other.

Evil Geniuses vs. Quincy Crew betting odds, predictions

This one is incredibly tough to call and all the statistics out there speak to that. The line on Winners.bet is basically even, sitting at 1.86 vs. 1.84 in favor of Quincy Crew at the time of writing.

Since The International 2019, the head-to-head record between these two teams is 6-5 in favor of Evil Geniuses but that number comes with a big asterisk. Evil Geniuses dealt with extensive substitutions in 2020 while Quincy Crew had a revolving door of offlaners until signing Lelis.

This one is tough to call but if bettors are feeling strongly about one team or the other, the closeness of the line offers near-coin flip odds. Likely the most lucrative option available would be picking one team or the other to sweep. Though these two teams are evenly matched, a sweep is a very real possibility and offers 3.56 odds for either team.