BLAST Premier: Fall Group C betting picks and analysis

Kenneth Williams • September 20, 23:06

The next BLAST Premier event is too exciting for just one tournament. 

Counter-Strike: Global Offensive teams from across Europe have assembled to compete for $150,000 and tickets to the $425,000 BLAST Premier Fall Finals in November. With two top-tier teams and a pair of rising stars involved, Group C will be the most exciting preliminary group yet. 

You can cash in on the action with some well-placed bets on Blast Premier: Fall Groups over at Winners.bet.

Natus Vincere BLAST Fall Groups analysis

After three consecutive championships and an Intel Grand Slam, Natus Vincere is clearly the best CSGO team in the world. Team Vitality gave the Eastern European squad a gut check in the grand finals of ESL Pro League Season 14, but the French roster wasn’t here to stop Oleksandr “s1mple” Kostyliev and his teammates. The Ukrainian AWPer has registered 86.4 damage and .85 kills per round over the last three months.

Most if not all of Na’Vi’s matches at BLAST Fall Groups will be heavily tilted in its favor. The highest odds you’re likely to find will be against FaZe Clan, where Natus Vincere is still heavily favored. The opening round against OG currently sports 1.35 odds for a Na’Vi win. It’s a simple and fairly safe bet to start out Group C.

FaZe Clan BLAST Fall Groups analysis

FaZe Clan might have met a rough end at ESL Pro League Season 14, but the international squad is still Group C’s second seed for a reason. This roster dominated the qualifier for IEM Fall: Europe. FaZe sports a solid fragging duo in Helvijs “broky” Saukants and Russel “Twistzz” Van Dulken. Both players have KD ratios just under 1.20. Olof “olofmeister” Kajbjer Gustafsson is lighter on frags, but he’s still a credible threat in the clutch. His one-on-one record for the past three months is 14-7.

While Natus Vincere is certifiably the winningest team of this era, it’s not quite invincible. If any team in BLAST Fall Group C can take a map off Na’Vi, it’s FaZe. Pay close attention to the odds of a FaZe +1.5 handicap on that match. The two squads have very different map pools, which hints towards a 2-1 scoreline.

OG BLAST Fall Groups analysis

OG is fresh off a fantastic third-fourth finish at ESL Pro League Season 14. The squad ran over Virtus.pro, Ninjas in Pyjamas, G2, Complexity, and more to earn the second-biggest prize purse in the organization’s CSGO history. Na’Vi is nearly guaranteed to make the BLAST Premier: Fall Finals, so the second slot will likely be a climactic battle between OG and FaZe. 

OG took the rough draw of playing Natus Vincere first, which is a very likely loss for OG. Potential upsets aside, that should put OG against Complexity in the lower bracket. That’s OG’s match to win on paper, but the real challenge will be against FaZe to determine the second Fall Finals qualifier. If entry fragger Shahar “flameZ” Shushan and AWPer Mateusz “mantuu” Wilczewski are playing well, OG could earn a ticket to the $425,000 event.

Complexity BLAST Fall Groups analysis

Between recent roster troubles and some bad luck in Cologne, it’s easy to count Complexity out at BLAST Premier Fall. But the international squad has a secret weapon in Marcelo “coldzera” David. The Brazilian icon is standing in for Complexity as Will “RUSH” Wierzba and Kristian “k0nfig” Wienecke are left on the bench. This is a big opportunity for coldzera and Complexity to live up to each other’s expectations. A first-round upset over FaZe could even lead to a permanent position.

FaZe’s recent subpar results may set up a Complexity poised for an upset. That opening round is quite difficult to call, even for oddsmakers. A $20 Complexity wager on Winners.bet would pay out exactly $40. The squads are 2-2 over the past 12 months, but Complexity’s roster may have just gotten a considerable upgrade that could tilt the outcome in its favor.

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