Vitality vs. Complexity BLAST Fall Series betting odds, predictions
While Complexity will enter the series with a brand new player in former 100 Thieves rifler Justin "jks" Savage, Vitality comes in after a crushing loss to Heroic at DreamHack Open Fall. While the markets have Vitality as heavy favorites, fan opinion is behind Complexity. This series will ultimately come down to teamwork, not just jks or Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut's individual skills.
Complexity vs. Vitality should provide good upset odds
Both ZywOo and jks are consistently deadly players that have played with less-than-stellar supporting casts around them. That has changed for jks, who enters a Complexity lineup that was this fall's surprise contender before the departure of Owen "oBo" Schlatter.
COL's in-game leader Benjamin "blameF" Bremmer has defied stereotypes and stands as a difference-maker for the team. With jks now available to spread that power out across maps, opposing teams will have a much more difficult time gaining ground. Vitality, on the other hand, has Richard "shox" Papillion. The veteran CSGO player has been Vitality's second-best behind ZywOo, but his performances over the last three months have only provided Vitality with an average of 70 damage per round. That won't be good enough against jks' average of 82.
As always, it's a good idea to get a look at map statistics for each team, especially in this case. The teams prefer different maps, with Complexity deadly on Vertigo with a 71% win rate while Vitality learns more towards Dust 2, where it wins 77% of the time. But there's a middle ground in Overpass, a map that both teams play often.
Vitality hasn't lost on Overpass in the past three months, but Complexity is still a threat here with a 71% win rate. One of those losses came against forZe when COL had a stand-in for oBo, and the other two came early after the CSGO player break. In other words, there will be a game on Overpass tomorrow.
Map Statistics for BLAST Premier Fall Series
- Best Map: Overpass, 6-0, 100%
- Worst Map: Nuke: 4-7. 68.1%
- Best Map: Overpass, 5-2, 71%
- Worst Map: Inferno, 0-1, 0%
jks is an adaptive player, a strength that has made him one of the most reliable riflers in CSGO. That should help him integrate with Complexity, especially given the amount of time the team has had to prepare. jks officially signed with COL on October 23, but it's likely that jks was in contact with the team prior to that. There shouldn't be any growing pains in this international roster given his ability to slide in where he's needed.
Vitality is either hot or cold, regardless of how well ZywOo is playing. shox and company always have the potential to make a breakout play or two, but Complexity is looking like the stronger team heading into this one.
The odds found on bookmakers available through WINNERS.net are saying otherwise. Team Vitality is currently favored 1.58 to Complexity's 2.23 underdog odds. That's a line punters should take a good look at, especially considering how streaky Vitality can be and how dependant it is on a good performance from ZywOo. Despite some red flags on paper, Complexity is in a very good position to win this series. There's also some serious value in looking at over-unders on maps played, as there is a strong likelihood this series goes the distance due to the teams' divergent map pools.
Complexity and Vitality are set to start the opening round of Group B's upper bracket tomorrow, October 28, at 11:30 a.m. EST.
Natus Vincere vs. Complexity ESL One Cologne Betting Analysis
ORDER vs AVANT at DreamHack Masters Spring betting analysis
G2 vs. North betting analysis, DreamHack Masters Spring 2020
Astralis vs. G2 Esports ESL Road to Rio EU betting analysis
FaZe Clan vs. c0ntact Gaming, ESL Road to Rio EU Betting Analysis
FaZe Clan drops coach YnK shortly after NiKo's move to G2 Esports
NiKo goes from FaZe to G2 Esports in "biggest CSGO signing in history"
Here's how to turn on Riot's disabled experimental sharpening feature
K/DA releases new single MORE featuring Seraphine
Will Xmithie retire after parting ways with Immortals?
BLAST introduces new rules that target CSGO coaching exploits
New $500,000 Dota 2 league announced by Epicenter organizer
Jensen reportedly signs $4.2 million, 3-year deal with Team Liquid
Evil Geniuses adding MAD Lions' Peter Dun, building around Svenskeren
Valorant players are demanding harsher punishments for trolls
Valorant's Reaver skin line returns for Vandal, Operator, and knife
Riot teases 2020 Worlds final opening ceremony
Valorant patch 1.11 update buffs Killjoy, Skye will now be available to play
New Battlecast and Resistance League of Legends skins revealed