IEM Krakow 2026 betting preview: Team Liquid vs NiP

After an early exit from BLAST Bounty 2026 at the hands of Team Liquid, NiP will get a chance to respond in the team’s opening match at IEM Krakow 2026, and our betting preview breaks down how the match-up is shaping up for bettors looking to place informed wagers.
| Match | Liquid vs NiP |
|---|---|
| Start time | January 28, 2026, at 4:30 PM E.T |
| Betting favorite | NiP |
| Our pick | NiP to win at 1.82 odds |
The opening matches at BLAST Bounty 2026 will feature several top CS2 teams chasing valuable Grand Slam points. While neither Ninjas in Pyjamas nor Team Liquid are currently in contention for the top of the standings, there is still plenty at stake.
After a disappointing 17th–32nd finish at BLAST Bounty 2026, NiP enter the match with a clear opportunity to redeem themselves and restore some confidence in their form. Team Liquid, on the other hand, will be looking to use this battle to push deeper into IEM Krakow 2026 and justify their current world ranking.
Liquid vs NiP match overview
- Tournament: IEM Krakow 2026
- Stage: Upper bracket, play-in
- Game: Counter-Strike 2
- Format: Best-of-three
Bettors are split between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Team Liquid, with NiP holding a slight edge due to Liquid’s recent dip in form. That said, our CS2 betting tip for the match leans toward Liquid as a value pick for bettors willing to take a measured risk in exchange for greater potential returns on a team with high potential.
Our Liquid vs NiP pick: Total maps to be under 2.5 @ 1.85.
Liquid vs NiP in-depth match analysis
NiP and Team Liquid did not face each other at any point in 2025, with their first meeting coming at BLAST Bounty 2026. That series ended in a 2–1 win for Liquid, who looked strong on their own map pick but dropped the ball on NiP’s choice.
That series was close enough to suggest it could have swung either way, particularly if star player Jonathan “EliGe” Jablonowski had not delivered such an outstanding individual performance, something Liquid has struggled to find at times during recent events.
Team Liquid players.
The narrow gap in the betting odds at IEM Krakow 2026 has more to do with Team Liquid’s recent slump than any clear improvement from NiP. The Marco “Snappi” Pfeiffer-led roster exited BLAST Bounty 2026 early and posted similarly underwhelming results at both the StarLadder Budapest Major and at PGL Masters Bucharest. TL, meanwhile, has struggled to deliver convincing performances against higher-ranked opposition in its recent outings.
With that in mind, NiP and Liquid enter this play-in match-up on fairly even footing, leaving roster quality as the key separator. On that front, Team Liquid holds a clear edge if its players can play up to their potential, making them the more valuable pick for bettors. Although NiP are slight favorites on paper, the tilt presents an opportunity for bettors to chase upside without taking on significant risk.
Key stats
| Stats | NiP | Liquid | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Map win rate | 61% | 48% | NiP |
| Round winrate | 54% | 50% | NiP |
| Pistol round winrate | 50% | 50% | Tie |
Liquid vs NiP betting odds snapshot
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| NiP to win | 1.82 |
| Liquid to win | 1.88 |
| Total maps under 2.5 | 1.85 |
CS2 betting odds as of January 27, 2026, via Stake.
Liquid vs NiP picks and predictions
If Keith “NAF” Markovic and Guy “NertZ” Iluz can step up alongside EliGE, who appears to be in strong form, the matchup could quickly tilt in Team Liquid’s favor. With Kamil “siuhy” Szkaradek already having a read on NiP from BLAST Bounty 2026, Liquid should have enough tactical options to control the series and close it out efficiently.
For those looking to play it safe, NiP isn’t a bad pick, but its less attractive odds and lack of solid form makes it a tough play as far as our match preview is concerned.
Liquid vs NiP prediction
Our Liquid vs NiP prediction: Liquid to win 2-1.
Featured image credit: NiP
Fariha Bhatti is a long-time gaming writer who loves competitive FPS games and slots with particularly fun themes. She got her start playing classic games developed by SNK, from legendary fighting game series The King of Fighters to challenging platform franchise Metal Slug. She now spends most of her time playing Valorant and Counter-Strike 2 while working her way through new slot releases to find her next favorite. Fariha has been published at PCGamesN, TalkEsport and ONE Esports.
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