G2 vs MongolZ StarLadder Budapest Major: Best odds, picks
G2 vs MongolZ is the third high match-up of stage 3, round 4, and bettors will know early whether their preferred team gets to fight another day. We’ve pulled together the best odds and picks for this highly anticipated StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 game.
| Match | G2 vs MongolZ |
|---|---|
| Start time | December 6, 2025, at 6:00 p.m. ET |
| Our pick | G2 to win 2-1 @ 1.85 odds |
| Betting favorite | G2 |
Round 4 at the major is where things really get dicey. Whoever loses between G2 and MongolZ drops into the elimination bracket and has to fight for survival, so this isn’t the time for casual guesses. Bettors may want to look past surface-level form before locking in their picks here. Both teams will show up sharpened to secure a playoff spot on December 11.
Match overview
- Tournament: StarLadder Budapest Major 2025
- Stage: Stage 3, round 4
- Game: Counter-Strike 2
- Format: Best-of-three
Betting tip: MongolZ should open the series on a solid footing and could realistically take a map, but the odds still tilt toward G2 closing out the match. A clean sweep from G2 is on the table, though the Mongolians are unlikely to hand it over without pressure.
Our G2 vs MongolZ pick: Total maps to be over 2.5 @ 1.85 odds.
G2 vs MongolZ match analysis
Fans haven’t forgotten MongolZ’s Cinderella run at the BLAST Austin.tv Major 2025, where the underdog team came painfully close to lifting the trophy. StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 is its chance to build on that runner-up finish. But it is playing without star rifler Azbayar “Senzu” Munkhbold, a loss that was clear at ESL Pro League Season 22 and BLAST Rivals Fall.
The upside is that the newest addition, Unudelger “controlez” Baasanjargal, hasn’t been a weak point. The new player has consistently maintained a rating above 1.0, even in losses. With that stability, MongolZ still has a real shot at pushing past G2 to stay in the race.
MongolZ player 910. Credit: MongolZ on X
But while G2 may not hold the same top-seed status in its region as MongolZ, fans watching the StarLadder Budapest Major have seen its solid form reflected in its play. Fresh off a first-place finish at BLAST Open Fall 2025, G2 has stayed reliably sharp, spearheaded by Nikita “HeavyHead” Martynenko and Alvaro “SunPayus” Garcia, who have been outright lethal with the rifle.
G2’s recent map pool looks better overall, with strong win rates on Inferno, Mirage, and Dust2, making it comfortable across most of the current rotation. MongolZ, however, thrive on Ancient and Mirage, where it has played the bulk of officials and posted decent results. The curveball here is Nuke, where both teams sit near the 40% mark, making it the likeliest punish pick. If the veto goes as expected, G2 enters with the steadier spread, but MongolZ still has enough map-specific edges to threaten an upset.
While G2 enters with stronger overall odds, it’s worth noting that it’s been on a losing streak against MongolZ since May 2025. This will be its fourth meeting since that initial loss at IEM Dallas 2025, and if the pattern holds, bettors looking for value may find MongolZ the smarter upset pick here.
Key stats
| Stats | G2 | MongolZ | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Map win rate | 50% | 44% | G2 |
| Round winrate | 52% | 50% | G2 |
| Pistol round winrate | 59% | 61% | MongolZ |
G2 vs MongolZ betting odds snapshot
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| G2 to win | 1.65 |
| MongolZ to win | 2.35 |
| Total maps over 2.5 | 1.85 |
CS2 betting odds as of December 6, 12:10 p.m. ET, via Stake
G2 vs MongolZ picks and predictions
Bookmakers are split on whether MongolZ can steal a map, but they agree G2 are the clear favorites to take the series. And while that outcome is certainly likely, MongolZ remain a strong value pick here, especially given their recent head-to-head success against G2 this season.
G2 vs MongolZ prediction
Our G2 vs MongolZ prediction: G2 to win @ 1.65 odds at Stake.
Featured image credit: G2 on X
Fariha Bhatti is a long-time gaming writer who loves competitive FPS games and slots with particularly fun themes. She got her start playing classic games developed by SNK, from legendary fighting game series The King of Fighters to challenging platform franchise Metal Slug. She now spends most of her time playing Valorant and Counter-Strike 2 while working her way through new slot releases to find her next favorite. Fariha has been published at PCGamesN, TalkEsport and ONE Esports.
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