Falcons vs FURIA IEM Chengdu 2025 semifinal: Best odds, picks
The IEM Chengdu 2025 semifinals matchup between FURIA and Falcons will determine who faces the winner of Team Vitality and MOUZ, and we’ve gathered the best odds and picks available for the second semifinal match-up.
| Match | Falcons vs FURIA |
|---|---|
| Start time | November 8, 2025, at 4:45 a.m. ET |
| Our pick | Team Falcons to win 2–1 @ 1.50 odds |
| Betting favorite | Falcons |
The winner between Team Vitality and MOUZ will claim the first berth in the IEM Chengdu 2025 finals, while the winner of FURIA vs Team Falcons will join them on November 9 for the final face-off. Both semifinals are shaping up to be nail-biters, but FURIA vs Falcons stands out as the most difficult to predict. FURIA’s consistent form and Falcons’ flawless run through Chengdu have made this match-up particularly tough for bettors to call.
Match overview
- Tournament: IEM Chengdu 2025
- Stage: Semifinal
- Game: Counter-Strike 2
- Format: Best-of-three
Betting tip: FURIA may have entered IEM Chengdu as the early favorites, but bettors are now leaning toward Falcons over the Brazilian veterans. Falcons have already proven their strength in the group stage, taking down top teams like Team Spirit and Astralis. It’s expected to be a tight match, but Falcons look poised to come out on top.
Our Falcons vs FURIA pick: Total maps to be over 2.5.
Falcons vs FURIA match analysis
FURIA is arguably the best CS2 team in the world, boasting two of the top 15 players globally with Gabriel “m0Lodoy” Camargo and Kaike “KSCERATO” Cerato. Naturally, the team entered IEM Chengdu as a heavy favorite, and with Falcons’ subpar showing throughout later half of 2025, bettors initially had a clear idea of where to place their money here. But Falcons’ flawless run to the IEM Chengdu semifinals has complicated things, making this match much harder to predict.
FURIA Fallen. Image credit: ESL
Falcons is the only team at IEM Chengdu 2025 to reach the semifinals with flawless 2–0 sweep victories against every opponent. With Ilya “m0NESY” Osipov, Nikola “NiKo” Kovač, and Kyosuke “kyosuke” Matsuyama posting impressive ratings of 1.32, 1.23, and 1.16, respectively, the mixed roster looks nearly unstoppable on paper. Betting against them might seem unreasonable, yet despite their strong form and stats, Falcons haven’t secured many big titles besides a win at PGL Bucharest 2025.
Meanwhile, FURIA has maintained strong form throughout late 2025, including a convincing win over Falcons at Fissure Playground 2. Both teams bring plenty of firepower, but when it comes to recent consistency, FURIA holds the edge. Still, Falcons seem revitalized at IEM Chengdu, and their streak of clean sweeps suggests that they remain a real contender for a finals appearance, as we noted in our IEM Chengdu 2025 betting guide.
While it’s a close call, Falcons could pull off an upset against the world’s top team if it brings the same energy it showed early in the tournament. If Ilya “m0NESY” Osipov replicates the 1.48 rating he posted against Team Spirit, FURIA’s veteran core may struggle to keep up.
Key stats
| Stats | Falcons | FURIA | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Map win rate | 76% | 69% | Falcons |
| Opening kills | 54.4% | 57% | FURIA |
| Pistol round winrate | 47% | 49% | FURIA |
Falcons vs FURIA betting odds snapshot
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Team Falcons to win | 1.50 |
| FURIA to win | 2.40 |
| Total maps under 2.5 | 1.82 |
CS2 betting odds as of November 7.
Falcons vs FURIA picks & predictions
Falcons vs FURIA doesn’t have a clear favorite, though the odds currently lean toward Falcons after their clean sweeps earlier in IEM Chengdu 2025. Still, it’s unlikely to be a one-sided affair. FURIA’s track record means the Brazilian team should take at least one map. If Falcons’ riflers pop off, FURIA’s top-ranked lineup might labor, especially given Falcons has already defeated some of the toughest teams in the event group.
Many bettors are now eyeing Falcons as the better pick, expecting them to edge out FURIA in a tight series that probably won’t end in a sweep.
Falcons vs FURIA prediction
Our Falcons vs FURIA prediction: Team Falcons to win 2–1 @ 1.50 odds at Stake.
Featured image credit: ESL
Fariha Bhatti is a long-time gaming writer who loves competitive FPS games and slots with particularly fun themes. She got her start playing classic games developed by SNK, from legendary fighting game series The King of Fighters to challenging platform franchise Metal Slug. She now spends most of her time playing Valorant and Counter-Strike 2 while working her way through new slot releases to find her next favorite. Fariha has been published at PCGamesN, TalkEsport and ONE Esports.
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