Guesswork and intuition certainly won’t help you curate a winning squad, but NFL DFS ownership projections will. Trust me when I say informed decisions paired with sporting knowledge are the combination every NFL DFS player needs for winning drafts.
Building an NFL DFS lineup can be pretty tedious and time-consuming. It doesn’t help that the process can be prone to errors, especially for newbies. Enter ownership projections, a must-have tool you need in your arsenal that provides valuable insight into player ownership. Read my guide to learn all about it and how to use it to curate optimal lineups.
Explore NFL DFS Ownership Projections for 2025
Free DFS ownership projections
Free NFL DFS ownership projections are your ticket to building lineups based on informed decisions. The tool provides in-depth insight into players that are highly likely to be owned in a given slate. Only when you have these ownership percentages on hand can you make player choices that differentiate you from the crowd.
These tools don’t cost anything so you can spend some time working on your NFL DFS ownership projections free of charge before going ahead and making your picks.
These tools rely on algorithms and expert analysis to generate the projections. The best NFL DFS ownership projections are updated numerous times a day to give players the latest info to work with. A lot can happen during an NFL season and these projection tools need to be able to keep up.
Players are ruled out, injured, swapped out left, right and center. This, in turn, drastically alters the ownership percentages, so up-to-the-minute slates are crucial. At the end of it all, the idea is to achieve NFL DFS success.
How to use ownership projections
NFL DFS ownership projections will show you the percentage of rosters that feature a specific player. This way, you have a clear indication of the most and least sought-after players. Generally, highly-owned players are considered safer choices than their low-owned counterparts. You then decide if you want to go with the obvious choice or carve a path of your own by pinpointing undervalued players. Ultimately, I use this information to figure out the strategy to go with for my daily fantasy sports lineup. Hopefully, it brings me the most success.
The aim, of course, is to build a team of good value players who will keep the total value below the salary cap. Part of the excitement is choosing some of the players who are less likely to be picked to build a unique but high quality team that sets you above the competition.
Typical projection example
Anytime I use NFL DFS ownership projections free of charge, the goal is to end up with a solid selection of players that gives me an edge over the competition. Below is what a typical projection looks like.
| Position | Team | Player | Salary | Projected Ownership (%) | Actual Ownership (%) | Difference (%) | Projected (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | – | Chubba Hubbard | $6,500 | 24.4 | – | – | 26.33 |
| WR | – | Ja’Marr Chase | $8,400 | 19.5 | – | – | 18.34 |
| QB | – | Kyler Murray | $6,000 | 15.6 | – | – | 20.48 |
| QB | – | Tua Tagovailoa | $6,100 | 11.9 | – | – | 17.55 |
Why use NFL DFS ownership projections?
It’s not enough to ask a question like what is a snake draft in fantasy football that explains the drafting order. Ownership projections are pivotal to successful DFS play. From what I’ve seen, not using this tool as a DFS enthusiast can throttle your chances of competing effectively. I’ve rounded up a few reasons why using ownership projections is a no-brainer.
Accurate and free
Intuition is great. I rely on it sometimes. However, trying to figure out player projections on your own often leaves room for error. Ownership projections eliminate guesswork, giving you reliable stats to work with at any given time. That’s because they use a set of algorithms to provide you with information you can trust. In addition, you’ll appreciate how most of the free NFL DFS ownership projection tools still deliver optimum results, even though you’re not paying.
Easy to use
You’ll appreciate how NFL DFS ownership projections don’t present a learning curve for users. If anything, they are extremely easy to use even for rookies. Note, however, that projection tools aren’t customizable. For more accurate stats, I don’t have issues paying a little extra for more features.
Covers most DFS site data
Most ownership projection tools, especially from reputable sites, are far-reaching. They have access to old and new daily fantasy sites, giving you a wealth of stats, not to mention the latest. These tools are also linked to prominent DFS sites, the likes of DraftKings and FanDuel. Regardless of whether you’re new to free NHL DFS ownership projections or a veteran, you’ll have the information to compete effectively on major DFS sites.
Consistently updated projections
Any daily fantasy sports guide can tell you that outdated ownership slates and projections are of no value. In fact, they are misleading and can have you making undesirable lineup decisions that’ll cost you those precious points. Ideally, the best ownership projections are updated regularly—on an hourly basis. This ensures you have recent data at your fingertips.
DFS ownership projections pros & cons
For the most part, DFS ownership projections are the key to making smart and intelligent lineup decisions. However, I’ll admit that it’s not all sunshine roses, as these tools have a few drawbacks you must contend with.
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Factors to consider when using ownership projections
Using ownership projections is only beneficial when you use them correctly. They must be paired with the best fantasy draft strategy for your goal. Here are a few things to consider and use the tool optimally.
🔍 What are DFS ownership projections?
DFS ownership projections reveal the estimated percentage of people likely to choose certain players for their lineups. You then use this information to build your own lineup of players to compete with other teams. DFS projections are available for all fantasy sports including the NFL.
🔗 Where can I find reliable ownership projections?
DFS ownership projections are available from a range of sources. You can find them on this page, and certain websites are set up for this sole purpose. While your options are endless, try and engage reputable sources.
⚖️ Do ownership projections differ from one source to the next?
Most definitely. DFS ownership projections aren’t always similar across the board and vary based on the source. At the end of the day these are estimations based on a wide range of factors, from algorithms used to expert analysis. It follows that the quality of projections might differ. That’s why it’s important to stick to trusted sources.
💰 Are all DFS ownership projections free?
No. Some sources charge for the DFS ownership projections while others give them out for free. Free options are decent enough to give you valuable insight to construct winning rosters for most DFS contests. However, I find paying for projections essential when participating in GPPs.
A holistic approach to DFS lineups
Coming up with a brilliant NFL DFS lineup can be a daunting task and feels like you’re navigating a maze. When paired with sound game theory, these projections can help you line up a squad that outsmarts the competition.
However, don’t rely solely on the ownership projections when making decisions. Incorporate all the resources you can get such as an NFL DFS lineup optimizer to make the optimum lineup decisions. Also, don’t be a victim of collective bias on specific players. Do your own research but also trust the wisdom of the crowd. When leveraged effectively, ownership projections can indeed be a useful tool.
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Free DFS ownership projections FAQ
🔍 What are DFS ownership projections?
🔗 Where can I find reliable ownership projections?
⚖️ Do ownership projections differ from one source to the next?
💰 Are all DFS ownership projections free?
Simon Day
Simon has been writing about Gaming and Sports for over a decade, with his work featured in a variety of well-known gaming magazines. This year, he joined win.gg as an Editorial Specialist, where he continues to share his passion for the industry through insightful and well-crafted content pieces.
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